Analysis and predictions AMGN vs LLY
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMGN is a Hold and LLY is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMGN’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileLLY’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- AMGN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- LLY’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMGN’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LLY’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMGN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LLY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMGN (@Pharmaceuticals: Major) experienced а +1.60% price change this week, while LLY (@Pharmaceuticals: Major) price change was +6.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Pharmaceuticals: Major industry was +0.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.27%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMGN is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2024.
LLY is expected to report earnings on Aug 08, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Pharmaceuticals: Major (+0.45% weekly)The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.
| AMGN | LLY | AMGN / LLY | |
| Capitalization | 152B | 740B | 21% |
| EBITDA | 14.8B | 8.57B | 173% |
| Gain YTD | -2.948 | 33.485 | -9% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.66 | 131.13 | 17% |
| Revenue | 28.2B | 34.1B | 83% |
| Total Cash | 10.9B | 2.93B | 372% |
| Total Debt | 64.6B | 25.2B | 256% |
AMGN | LLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 1 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 12 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 7 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMGN's Valuation (19) in the Biotechnology industry is significantly better than the same rating for LLY (95) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry. This means that AMGN’s stock grew significantly faster than LLY’s over the last 12 months.
LLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (1) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is in the same range as AMGN (16) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that LLY’s stock grew similarly to AMGN’s over the last 12 months.
AMGN's SMR Rating (12) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as LLY (19) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry. This means that AMGN’s stock grew similarly to LLY’s over the last 12 months.
LLY's Price Growth Rating (7) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMGN (57) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that LLY’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMGN’s over the last 12 months.
LLY's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is in the same range as AMGN (26) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that LLY’s stock grew similarly to AMGN’s over the last 12 months.
| AMGN | LLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 53% | 7 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 45% |
AMGN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMGN has been loosely correlated with GILD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMGN jumps, then GILD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMGN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMGN | 100% | +1.25% | ||
| GILD - AMGN | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| JNJ - AMGN | 35% Loosely correlated | +4.56% | ||
| BIIB - AMGN | 33% Loosely correlated | +0.61% | ||
| ABBV - AMGN | 33% Poorly correlated | -0.57% | ||
| NVS - AMGN | 32% Poorly correlated | +0.38% | ||
More | ||||
LLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LLY has been loosely correlated with NVS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LLY jumps, then NVS could also see price increases.