Analysis and predictions MPW vs NHI
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Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPW) and National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI) invest in medical real estate properties, and are categorized as REITs. MPW owns approximately 431 medical facilities and is one of the largest hospital owners in the world. Most of the properties are on a net-lease structure. NHI invests more in properties which accommodate elderly patients. The over-80 population is the faster-growing population segment, so NHI is in a good position for additional growth as well. Both companies offer various structures for leasebacks and mezzanine financing to give occupants various kinds of liquidity and time horizons. MPW is much larger than NHI, with an enterprise value of $22B dwarfing NHI’s EV of just over $4B at the time of this writing. Their return on equity is nearly the same, and their margins, also, are comparable. NHI’s dividend is a few basis points higher than MPW’s, but MPW has a much stronger current ratio, while their overall debt-to-equity is higher than NHI’s.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNHI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MPW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NHI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPW’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NHI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NHI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MPW (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а +3.55% price change this week, while NHI (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was +6.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +3.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPW is expected to report earnings on Jul 25, 2024.
NHI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+3.06% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
| MPW | NHI | MPW / NHI | |
| Capitalization | 2.7B | 2.73B | 99% |
| EBITDA | 697M | 260M | 268% |
| Gain YTD | -5.499 | 14.003 | -39% |
| P/E Ratio | 46.95 | 19.73 | 238% |
| Revenue | 872M | 320M | 273% |
| Total Cash | 250M | 22.3M | 1,121% |
| Total Debt | 10.2B | 1.14B | 899% |
MPW | NHI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 3 Undervalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 69 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 88 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MPW's Valuation (3) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NHI (57). This means that MPW’s stock grew somewhat faster than NHI’s over the last 12 months.
NHI's Profit vs Risk Rating (79) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as MPW (100). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to MPW’s over the last 12 months.
NHI's SMR Rating (69) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as MPW (98). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to MPW’s over the last 12 months.
NHI's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as MPW (44). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to MPW’s over the last 12 months.
MPW's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is significantly better than the same rating for NHI (88). This means that MPW’s stock grew significantly faster than NHI’s over the last 12 months.
| MPW | NHI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 65% | 15 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 44% |
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MPW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPW has been loosely correlated with DBRG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MPW jumps, then DBRG could also see price increases.
NHI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NHI has been closely correlated with LTC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NHI jumps, then LTC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NHI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHI | 100% | +0.67% | ||
| LTC - NHI | 77% Closely correlated | +0.60% | ||
| LXP - NHI | 66% Loosely correlated | +1.27% | ||
| JBGS - NHI | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.68% | ||
| SBRA - NHI | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.88% | ||
| ALEX - NHI | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.05% | ||
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